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S&P 500 A Composite Look | S&P 500 A Composite Look |
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| Written by Bill Zimmer | |
| Thursday, 08 January 2009 | |
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Often looking at data covering what's going on within an index can help us determine our next move. Today let's look at some composite data on the S&P 500 a market at an inflection point.
The
parallel lines on the price chart show an uptrend perhaps getting a little
tired, certainly at an inflection point.
The A/D line is right where it peaked previously at the November
high. The second indicator box is
advancing volume minus declining volume dollar weighted; it too is at the same
high points reached in October and November.
The third
indicator box is our dollar weighted buying and selling pressure. This
indicator takes the dollar weighted up volume divided by the dollar weighted up
volume plus down volume; a percent if you will.
The blue line is the buying pressure orange line selling. Notice how in August/September the
buying/selling pressures were about even, the buyers were just not able to gain
control of the market. The second arrow shows the point where the sellers began
to gain control; right around S&P 1200.
Now once again this indicator is in somewhat of a confluence; the buyers
need to gain control soon or both indicators will turn negative as they
did last August/September.
The final
indicator box is an internal measure of relative strength developed by Charles
Kirkpatrick II CMT. I added it to this
chart because it appears to be indicating the buying may indeed return in time to stave off another decline. All in all this chart tells me the market is right at an inflection point and if the trend higher is to continue it had should get on with it soon. |
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